Auburn Coherence Framework v1.2

February 2026 Prediction Verification: Seven-Region Global Assessment


Verifies predictions issued February 5, 2026 against observed events through February 28, 2026 across seven global regions.

Of 28 discrete predictions: 20 confirmed or confirmed early (71.4%), five exhibited partial verification with correct mechanism identification, three remain within open windows. No predictions contradicted by observed outcomes.

Associated events: estimated USD $12–15 billion in combined economic losses, more than 200 fatalities.

Files

File Description
paper.pdf Full verification report

Citation

DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.31441348

License

CC BY-NC-ND 4.0